2021 NFL MVP odds, picks: Why Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen are best bets, plus more award picks from CBS staff

With the offseason saga between Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers probably being on the forefront of your thoughts when the veteran quarterback comes up in dialog, do not forget that he is additionally getting into the 2021 common season because the defending league MVP. Rodgers took the league by storm final season and marched to the third MVP award of his profession (first since 2014). As you’d anticipate, Rodgers is projected to as soon as once more be within the thick of the race this yr, however he’ll have some stiff competitors as he tries to develop into the primary player since Peyton Manning (2008, 2009) to repeat as MVP. 

What do we predict? As we gear up for the beginning of the common season, the NFL employees right here at CBS Sports activities has been tasked with not solely handing over their greatest bets for league MVP however a wide selection of seasonal awards so that you can ponder. Beneath you may discover picks from NFL insiders Jason La Canfora and Jonathan Jones together with senior author Pete Prisco, and employees writers Tyler Sullivan, John Breech, Ryan Wilson, Josh Edwards, Jordan Dajani, Jared Dubin, Bryan DeArdo and Jeff Kerr.   

Key MVP odds

Wilson: Aaron Rodgers (+1000). The person can take any slight — huge or small, perceived or in any other case — and use it as gasoline to demolish his detractors.

Sullivan: Tom Brady (+1200). Brady’s getting slept on right here a bit of bit. Because of a seventh Super Bowl ring on his finger, we all know that his first season in Tampa was a rousing success, however I am unsure folks notice that the Bucs may very well be even higher throughout Brady’s second season with the membership. In the event you take his closing 9 video games of the 2020 season (together with playoffs), and undertaking that out over a 17-game schedule, Brady’s over 5,100 yards passing and round 47 passing touchdowns. With the weapons that the Bucs have on offense, dare I say that is doable? Brady’s giving me a 2013 Peyton Manning second yr with Denver-type MVP vibe. 

La Canfora: Patrick Mahomes (+500). Patrick Mahomes is chalk for a purpose. Lots of them. 

Edwards: Josh Allen (+1200). Allen would develop into the second quarterback from that 2018 class to win MVP. He has progressed every season and I do know there’s one other stage for him to succeed in. The narrative has slowly modified and I imagine the unfavorable stigma of inaccuracy has dissipated sufficient to supply an opportunity for him so as to add some {hardware}. 

Dubin: Patrick Mahomes (+500). Mahomes is the league’s greatest player and might be my MVP choose for the foreseeable future.

Jones: Patrick Mahomes (+500). Till one thing drastic occurs, he’ll be my choose for this award yearly.

Breech: Josh Allen (+1200). Allen completed second within the MVP voting final yr in a season the place he was simply beginning to determine the best way to play QB within the NFL. In 2021, I feel he places all of it collectively and turns into the primary Bills MVP since Thurman Thomas in 1991.

DeArdo: Patrick Mahomes (+500). It is exhausting to imagine that it has been three years since Mahomes’ MVP season. If he and his supporting solid are wholesome, Mahomes needs to be able to win his second MVP award. With a 17 recreation season, Mahomes is among the many favorites to interrupt Peyton Manning’s single-season passing document.

Dajani: Aaron Rodgers (+1000). We’ve not seen a player win MVP two years in a row since 2008-09 with Peyton Manning, however Rodgers may do it. Patrick Mahomes is the favourite for good purpose, however I am anticipating one other huge season for Rodgers in what may very well be his “final dance.”

Kerr: Patrick Mahomes (+500): Aaron Rodgers wanted an historic season to beat out Mahomes for this award. That is what a quarterback wants to perform to take MVP honors away from a  player who units a brand new document nearly every week. The Chiefs are going to win loads of video games and Mahomes goes to place up huge numbers. 

Excited for the largest NFL schedule in historical past? Follow along on the CBS Sports app and get the latest insights from our team of NFL insiders, plus news from our team of experts, as well as data insights on every player. If you have already got the CBS Sports activities app, be sure to favourite the your favourite group so you do not miss a factor!

Offensive Rookie of the Yr greatest bets

Wilson: Najee Harris (+1000). Trevor Lawrence is the simple alternative however the Steelers will lean on Harris as each a runner and receiver.

Breech: Mac Jones (+450). Over the previous six years, this award has solely gone to a working again or a quarterback, so I am not going to outthink myself right here. I feel this award goes to go to one of many rookie quarterbacks and I feel Jones is greatest arrange for achievement in Yr 1. 

La Canfora: Najee Harris (+1000). He’ll see the soccer a ton and do nice issues with it. 

Sullivan: Mac Jones (+450). Jones has proven sufficient this preseason that Invoice Belichick and Josh McDaniels are going to offer him the keys to the Patriots offense proper out of the gate. With that stage of teaching behind him, his ability set, and the weapons New England introduced on this offseason, he’ll put up numbers and the Pats ought to rival for a playoff spot. That places him in a major place to win this award. 

Dubin: Zach Wilson (+700). I do not assume Trey Lance or Justin Fields will play sufficient to get the award, and imagine Wilson might be put in a greater place to succeed by his teaching employees than will Trevor Lawrence.

Jones: Justin Fields (+700). He’ll see the sphere quickly sufficient and make sufficient spectacular performs to go together with good stats and some wins (greater than Lawrence or Wilson will get) to earn the award.

DeArdo: Mac Jones (+450). This yr’s Justin Herbert? Which may be a little bit of a stretch, as Jones will most likely not throw for over 4,300 yards and 30 touchdowns as Herbert did in 2020. That being mentioned, it is actually affordable to anticipate Jones to win no less than as many video games as Herbert did final season in Los Angeles. If he is ready to assist get the Patriots to the playoffs, Jones will probably take dwelling the award. 

Edwards: Trey Lance (+700). I’ve been on the bandwagon that Lance ought to begin in Week 1. He developed a superb understanding of coverages and protections at North Dakota State so he simply wants repetitions. Lance ought to have the ability to get yardage by way of the air and on the bottom. He stands to attain the very best stage of group success if San Francisco goes to him early. 

Prisco: Trevor Lawrence (+350). He would not have an excellent supporting solid, however he’ll nonetheless put up spectacular numbers. The protection will not be nice, so he may be compelled to take action. 

Dajani: Javonte Williams (+2200). How’s this for a protracted shot? I’ll go daring and fade the quarterbacks right here and take a working again. Najee Harris may very well be price a wager too, however Williams may play a giant function in Yr 1. The Broncos named Teddy Bridgewater their beginning quarterback, which bodes effectively for Williams. It means he’ll get some catches out of the backfield whereas he replaces Phillip Lindsay, however he additionally may surpass Melvin Gordon because the No. 1 working again. Denver cannot win if the Broncos put all the pieces on the arm of Bridgewater, which is why I feel Williams may probably escape on this offense.  

Kerr: Najee Harris (+1000): Not solely is Harris the function again in Pittsburgh, however he is explosive catching passes out of the backfield simply as he’s when he will get a carry behind the road of scrimmage. An improved Steelers offensive line will actually assist his probabilities right here. 

Notice: A few of these alternatives have been submitted previous to Mac Jones turning into the Patriots Week 1 starter 

Defensive Rookie of the Yr greatest bets

Wilson: Joe Tryon (+2000). The Bucs protection by some means bought higher and Tryon has an opportunity to feast off the sting as a result of opposing groups cannot afford to double-team anybody alongside Tampa Bay’s entrance seven.

La Canfora: Micah Parsons (+600). He’ll make a ton of performs and have an opportunity to make loads of performs on a nasty D.

Dubin: Micah Parsons (+600). Parsons performs for the league’s most seen group and goes to be on the sphere on a regular basis, which can permit him to make a ton of tackles. Voters love tackles.

Sullivan: Kwity Paye (+1100). Little little bit of a worth play right here. Paye has proven this preseason that he has a knack for getting after the quarterback and that ought to translate into the common season. Opposing offenses will prioritize containing DeForest Buckner on the inside, which ought to open up some alternatives for Paye to pile up sacks. 

Jones: Micah Parsons (+600). It took lower than 10 snaps on the Corridor of Fame Recreation to see this man is the true deal. Add within the visibility on America’s Group and he is a no brainer.

DeArdo: Patrick Surtain II (+800). Surtain shortly made his presence felt with a pick-six in Denver’s preseason opener. If he might help the Broncos protection include Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert, the previous Alabama standout may develop into the primary Bronco since Von Miller to win the dignity. 

Breech: Jaelan Phillips (+900). Phillips is enjoying for one of many smartest defensive minds within the NFL (Brian Flores) and I’ve a sense Flores will make Phillips appear to be a star this yr. 

Prisco: Joe Tryon (+2000). He has been a dominant player within the preseason. The one factor that would maintain him down is enjoying time. However I feel he’ll get sufficient of it to smell double-digit sacks. 

Dajani: Micah Parsons (+600). Parsons is a player that’s going to be a right away influence man for the Cowboys. He was the most effective gamers within the draft and can show that in his first season.

Edwards: Micah Parsons (+600). Though I imagine Patrick Surtain II may have the perfect profession, it’s traditionally troublesome for cornerbacks to win the award as a result of their place doesn’t have the inherent stat-stuffing potential. Three of the previous 5 winners of this award have been edge rushers averaging 9 sacks. I don’t see an edge rusher with that ceiling as a rookie. Parsons has been all around the subject within the preseason and will submit an eye-popping statistical season.

Kerr: Micah Parsons (+600): Parsons can play a number of positions on Dan Quinn’s protection and instantly makes Dallas’ protection higher. The Cowboys protection was horrendous all through 2020 — and Parsons is the player that makes that protection adequate to find out the NFC East title. 

You should definitely take a look at Josh Edwards’ extensive DROY and OROY preview here!

Defensive Player of the Yr greatest bets

Wilson: T.J. Watt (+650). He led the NFL in sacks a yr in the past and misplaced out to Aaron Donald.

La Canfora: Myles Garrett (+650). He leads the NFL in sacks and brings dwelling the {hardware}.

Dubin: Aaron Donald (+400). Donald is the perfect defensive player I’ve personally ever seen, and will most likely win DPOY yearly.

DeArdo: T.J. Watt (+650). Watt completed runner-up to Aaron Donald for this award final yr. Watt’s present contract state of affairs (which has led to him solely doing particular person drills throughout coaching camp) made me considerably hesitant to choose him. That being mentioned, Watt has solely gotten higher since breaking into the league in 2017. He additionally has the posh of enjoying alongside Melvin Ingram and Alex Highsmith, who appears poised for a giant yr himself. 

Jones: TJ Watt (+650). He was shut final yr and should lastly wrest the title away from Aaron Donald, the perfect defender within the recreation.

Sullivan: Nick Bosa (+1200). One other sleeper to regulate. Bosa is again wholesome after lacking the majority of the 2020 season attributable to a torn ACL and will slot again into being probably the most feared move rushers in all the NFL. As a rookie in 2019, Bosa totaled 9 sacks and 45 pressures. As long as he is wholesome, he’ll push for the league lead in sacks and be within the thick of this race by the top of the yr. 

Edwards: Myles Garrett (+650). I fell brief on my prediction of T.J. Watt final yr. I imagine that groups might be throwing extra in opposition to Cleveland this yr. If Garrett can stay obtainable, which he has but to do in his profession, then I foresee a monster season. Sooner or later, voter fatigue goes to set in with Aaron Donald regardless that I don’t imagine it ought to.

Breech: T.J. Watt (+650). He bought robbed final yr and I’ve a sense he’ll take that out on each offense he faces in 2021. 

Prisco: Devin White (+3000). The plain alternative can be Aaron Donald to win it once more. However I feel White in Tampa Bay’s protection will get a ton of splash performs. That can get him the award. 

Dajani: Myles Garrett (+650). Garrett has been near profitable this award earlier than, and I feel 2021 may very well be the yr. Cleveland’s improved protection may assist him, as may the addition of Jadeveon Clowney on the sting reverse of him.

Kerr: Aaron Donald (+400): Feels foolish to choose in opposition to Donald for any main defensive award, even when he simply turned 30. Donald was the one player with over 85 pressures final season (he had 104). 

Comeback Player of the Yr greatest bets

Wilson: Dak Prescott (+220). The Cowboys’ hope of even sniffing the playoffs depends solely on Prescott’s proper arm.

La Canfora: Joe Burrow (+750). Burrow might be himself quickly sufficient and had some intriguing items round him

Dubin: Dak Prescott (+220). Prescott’s closest competitors for CPOY is prone to come from Christian McCaffrey, however Dak’s damage was so grotesque that I feel he will get the nod if he performs at a median or higher stage, no matter what CMC does.

Jones: Derwin James (+1800). Lots of my colleagues will take Dak Prescott right here and I respect that. However the Chargers might be within the playoffs this season and it will be due largely to the flexibility of James.

DeArdo: Christian McCaffrey (+750). It needs to be a detailed race between Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow and Christian McCaffrey. I will go together with McCaffrey, who had been given the mantle because the NFL’s greatest working again previous to final season’s accidents. If wholesome, McCaffrey may develop into the primary player in league historical past to submit 1,000 yards speeding and receiving in the identical season on separate events.

Edwards: Dak Prescott (+220). The award is prone to come all the way down to Joe Burrow and Prescott. The latter is destined for extra particular person and group success. The Cowboys have a wealth of offensive weapons that ought to allow the quarterback’s success. 

Breech: Jameis Winston (+750). He is not getting back from an damage (except you rely his delight getting damage), however after being relegated to backup duties in 2020, it will be fairly the profession comeback if Wintson can lead the Saints to the playoffs and I feel he’ll. 

Sullivan: Dak Prescott (+220). Generally you simply must take the layup. So long as Prescott is wholesome and performs all 17 video games, he’ll have the numbers that may have him working away with this award.  

Prisco: Dak Prescott (+220). That is straightforward. He’ll bounce again from his ankle damage to win the award. He’ll present why the Cowboys paid him the big-money contract by placing up huge numbers. 

Dajani: Dak Prescott (+220). Prescott is the favourite to win this award and I feel he takes it dwelling if he stays wholesome. The quarterback for America’s Group was on monitor for a historic season earlier than his ankle damage, and everyone knows he can put up some huge numbers on this loaded offense. 

Kerr: Christian McCaffrey (+750). A wholesome McCaffrey in Joe Brady’s offense may see the working again put up 2,000 yards from scrimmage once more. If McCaffrey rushes for 1,000 yards and catches for 1,000 yards, how does he get denied this honor? 

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2021-nfl-mvp-odds-picks-why-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-are-best-bets-plus-more-award-picks-from-cbs-staff/ | 2021 NFL MVP odds, picks: Why Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen are greatest bets, plus extra award picks from CBS employees


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