2021 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds, picks: Model unveils predictions for Richmond, NASCAR Playoffs

Denny Hamlin sat atop the NASCAR Cup Sequence standings for many of the season regardless of not successful a single race. Perhaps he was simply ready for the NASCAR Playoffs to interrupt by, as Hamlin received final week at Darlington to clinch his spot within the Spherical of 12. He’ll look to proceed the momentum on Saturday on the 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 Salute to First Responders from America’s premier brief observe, the long-lasting Richmond Raceway.

The inexperienced flag for NASCAR at Richmond 2021 drops at 7:30 p.m. ET for the second of 10 playoff races. Hamlin is listed second within the 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 odds at 4-1 at Caesars Sportsbook. Martin Truex Jr., who has two NASCAR at Richmond victories since 2019, tops the NASCAR odds at 7-2. Different contenders embody Brad Keselowski (7-1), Kyle Larson (17-2) and Chase Elliott (10-1). Earlier than scouring the 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 beginning lineup and making any NASCAR at Richmond predictions, be sure you see the latest 2021 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by each day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 instances, bearing in mind elements resembling observe historical past and up to date outcomes.

The mannequin started the 2020 season paying out large by selecting Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The mannequin additionally referred to as Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping 9 top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the mannequin to lock in a 10-1 guess on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

On the Brickyard, the mannequin referred to as Harvick’s fourth victory of the season. Then throughout the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the mannequin nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 on the Charlotte Roval.

Within the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a robust 3-1 payout. The mannequin additionally nailed Kyle Larson successful the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 and hit Larson once more on the Ally 400 for an additional 5-2 payout. It additionally referred to as Chase Elliott to win at Highway America for a 5-2 payout after which appropriately predicted the highest 5 drivers at Watkins Glen earlier than nailing seven of the highest 10 final week in Darlington. Anybody who has adopted its lead on these performs has seen big returns.

Now, the mannequin simulated the 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 10,000 instances. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2021 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard.

High 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 predictions

One shock: the mannequin is excessive on Kurt Busch, though he is a 40-1 lengthy shot within the newest NASCAR at Richmond odds 2021. He is a goal for anybody searching for an enormous payday. Busch has picked it up within the second half of the season after being buried within the standings by the primary half. He has eight top-10s over his final 12 races after posting simply two over his first 15 begins.

The veteran driver is as skilled as anybody within the 2021 NASCAR at Richmond beginning grid, as he is been competing on the observe for 20 years. He has a pair of victories along with 5 different top-five finishes, so he is aware of what it takes to achieve success right here. Busch’s current stretch and confirmed NASCAR at Richmond success provides him loads of worth in your 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 bets, in response to the mannequin.

A large shocker: Martin Truex Jr., the Vegas favourite at 7-2, stumbles big-time and fails to get the win. There are much better values on this loaded 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 beginning lineup. Truex swept at Richmond Raceway in 2019 and is using a streak of 5 consecutive top-five finishes on the three-quarter mile oval into this race weekend.

Nonetheless, since successful at Darlington within the 2021 Goodyear 400 on Could 9, Truex has completed exterior the highest 10 9 instances within the NASCAR Cup Sequence. He is additionally had 17 finishes exterior the highest 10 in his Cup profession at Richmond Raceway, sufficient to make his present value look suspect within the mannequin’s eyes.

The way to make 2021 NASCAR at Richmond picks

The mannequin can be concentrating on one different driver with 2021 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 20-1 or longer to make a severe run at successful all of it. It additionally sees worth in an enormous triple-digit lengthy shot. Anybody who backs these drivers might hit it large. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400? And which large triple-digit lengthy shot is a surprising worth? Try the most recent 2021 NASCAR at Richmond odds beneath, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Federated Auto Parts 400 leaderboard, all from the model that has called several race winners this season and nailed the top five at Watkins Glen

2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 odds

Martin Truex Jr. 7-2
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Kyle Busch 7-1
Brad Keselowski 7-1
Joey Logano 15-2
Kyle Larson 17-2
Chase Elliott 10-1
Kevin Harvick 12-1
William Byron 17-1
Alex Bowman 17-1
Christopher Bell 18-1
Ryan Blaney 20-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Matt DiBenedetto 60-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
Tyler Reddick 75-1
Ross Chastain 100-1
Daniel Suarez 200-1
Cole Custer 200-1
Bubba Wallace 250-1
Chris Buescher 250-1
Ryan Newman 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1
Chase Briscoe 300-1
Erik Jones 300-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Ryan Preece 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Justin Haley 2500-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
B.J. McLeod 5000-1
Anthony Alfredo 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1

https://www.cbssports.com/nascar/information/2021-federated-auto-parts-400-odds-picks-model-unveils-predictions-for-richmond-nascar-playoffs/ | 2021 Federated Auto Elements 400 odds, picks: Mannequin unveils predictions for Richmond, NASCAR Playoffs


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